extinction – Te Taha Tawhiti

If you thought that cave wētā (Rhaphidophoridae) were only to be found inside New Zealand caves – Think again. They don’t need caves and they are found all around the world! A new study published in Royal Society Open Science discovered that five geologically young subantarctic islands each have their own amazing and “ancient” endemic cave wētā. [The species themselves are not ancient but each one represents a phylogenetically distinct lineage].

*Pachyrhamma longicauda* subadult at night on the forest floor.

When land emerges from the sea it provides a new home for terrestrial plants and animals. Drifting across the ocean and blowing through the air new organisms arrive. New populations are established and over many generations these populations adapt to their home and might even diversify into a set of new endemic species.

Time series showing organisms colonizing new land and diverging from source population

Biologists studying island endemics have long been interested in when it was that islands were first colonised after their formation, and how long it took for novel, distinguishing traits to evolve. A new study of camel crickets on seven subantarctic islands reveals how little we can learn about the time of arrival from the age of the stem. Only the age of the crown group should be used to estimate the speed of evolution.

*Phylogenetic tree showing evolutionary relationships*, and explanation of the terms stem and crown

The study of Rhaphidophoridae (cave weta/camel crickets) sequenced whole mitochondrial genomes and used fossils from a sister group of orthoptera to calibrate a molecular clock. Species found only on subantarctic islands have sister taxa in New Zealand but the age of the divergence (stem) was found to be much older than the age of their island homes. In all seven cases the island species shared its most recent common ancestor with a sampled relative more than 10 million years ago (most were >25 MYA). This study provides an excellent example of how stem age can mislead biologists into thinking lineages are very old. The reason the stem dates are older than the islands is because close relatives were not sampled. All extant New Zealand genera (with one exception) were included in the study so the lack of close relatives suggests either lack of investment into species discovery or due to extinction. There is still time for us to go looking for close relatives of these island endemics in New Zealand but the islands will be smaller as sea level rises.

the tree on the right shows how extinction has resulted in very distinctive island taxa

Cave crickets are found all over the world including on tiny subantarctic islands. Finding old lineages on young islands shows that these wingless insects are successful at crossing the ocean and colonising new habitat. However, the absence of closely related species elsewhere suggests that extinction is a biologically influential factor with potential to confound traditional biogeographic assumptions

Global climate change is changing everything, but the gradual processes make it hard to spot the extent of the impact. Change in local climate and the effects it has on species and ecosystems are most apparent where there is a steep gradient in conditions.

A good example of a steep environmental gradient can be found on any tidal rocky coastline, where the tide means some creatures live under sea water, others are exposed to air occasionally, while others that live further up the beach are exposed to drying for much longer. All parts are physically near each other making the gradient in conditions steep. Coastal environments are impacted by global climate change because warming results in the melting of glaciers and polar ice, which in turn leads to rising sea level.

Tree-line on Mount Arthur, Nelson Lakes New Zealand.

On land, a similar situation exists on mountains because the slope of the mountainside means nearby places can have very different conditions. Most obvious as you move up a mountain is the lowering temperature. It is colder near the top than the bottom which is why you go up a mountain to find a ski field.

Another feature of mountains that has a strong influence on biological diversity is their tendency to form ‘islands’; patches of alpine habitat in a sea of lower elevation conditions which in New Zealand is normally forest. Valleys, rivers and forest create a patchwork of mountain tops and ridges; connectedness of these habitats and depends on the climate gradient.

Animals, plants, microbes and fungi that live in the alpine zone, such as this grasshopper (Sigaus piliferus on Mount Ruapehu) have evolved to thrive in the conditions of extreme day-night and seasonal fluctuations in temperature and water availability. Survival means coping with all the different conditions, including being able to freeze when it is cold and re-animate when it is warmer.

Locations of presence and absence for each of 12 New Zealand grasshopper species

Using the known distribution of New Zealand’s endemic alpine grasshopper species we identified their preferred habitat based on climatic conditions, and then modelled the future status of those habitats given anthropogenic climate warming. We found that available habitat will change for these alpine creatures very quickly; in about 70 years some species could be without suitable habitat that they can use.

It is easy to measure environmental conditions such as average temperature today, and good data about conditions in the past come from ice-cores and other sources, the future is more uncertain. We know the physics that connects atmospheric gases with global temperature, but the future depends on what people do. We can predict temperature changes during the rest of this century for several scenarios which are based upon the balance between the Earth’s heat (energy) gain and its loss (radiative forcing). The most extreme scenario used by the IPCC, RCP8.5, would result with from continued increase in GreenHouse Gases emissions. A more optimistic, but highly unlikely scenario given current trends, RCP2.6, would involve reduction in GHG emissions starting in 2010. RCP2.6 will still result in a 2˚ mean global temperature rise by 2100 (compared to 1750), compared to about 5˚ under RCP8.5.

Current and predicted available habitat for the endemic New Zealand grasshopper Sigaus australis (dark colours most suitable). The RCPB.5 climate change scenario assumes GHG emissions continue to rise through the 21st century. Even under the optimistic RCP2.6 that assumes the C02 emissions started declining in 2020 (they did not) and continue to O by 2100, habitat for S. australis will be scarce. RCP2.6 would result in a global average temperature increase of about 2˚ in the next 70 years.

Our findings apply to all biology living in the alpine zone and, by extrapolation, to all biology in New Zealand. Within one human lifetime, habitat availability will have changed catastrophically for many species… Others may gain, but these will often be species that humans have moved from their native habitat, and become weeds and pests.

Tag: extinction

extinction and biogeography

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