Te Ao Māori News: Economics lecturer says lack of people movement will hurt economy

Massey University economics and finance senior lecturer Matthew Roskruge of Te Ati Awa and Ngāti Tama says if New Zealand’s borders aren’t opened to trading partners soon, this will have a long term effect on industry.

He also asks without a free-flowing market, what the economic impact would be on New Zealand’s economy if the borders aren’t opened to trading partners and how long before New Zealand will see those impacts?

“It’s the movement in people, that’s the real problem. In the short run that’s really hurting tourism of course but the move to domestic tourism has some interesting positives. It may be quite good for Northland perhaps. Instead of going to the Cooks or going to Hawaii for holiday they go to Northland. But that small silver lining is on a big dark cloud, which is that lack of movement of people.”

Roskruge says if movement of people is still limited by 2022 or late 2021 it will really start to impact the way New Zealand conduct business.

See the full story on Maori TV

Taranaki Daily News: The biggest spend up since Think Big is coming to Taranaki

The community at Parihaka have a reason to celebrate. They have been given $14m to build a visitors centre that will give them the opportunity to tell their stories their way.

It will also provide a place and the staff to deal with the high numbers of visitors who amble down the drive to the historic South Taranaki community, expecting to see something, talk to someone and take pictures.

The different funds and the money being thrown around will bring back memories for some, of the Think Big projects in the late 1970s /early 80s.

Set up by Prime Minister Rob Muldoon the Government borrowed to fund large-scale industrial projects, such as the gas to gasoline plant at Motunui and the ammonia-urea plant at Kapuni.

The end result wasn’t pretty with New Zealand ending up deep in debt.

But Massey University School of Business senior lecturer Dr Matthew Roskruge doesn’t think there will be a problem this time around.

Both the level of science and understanding of economics and business has increased since then, he says.

‘’And our levels of debt are unlikely to hit any long run problems.”

New Zealand has an ‘’incredible’’ low level of debt to GDP ratio. And with the sort of debt so far in the Covid-19 recovery there is no risk of New Zealand ending up as a country with a high or even moderate level of debt.

‘’We have a lot of scope to borrow. New Zealand could be far more adventurous in taking on debt and our infrastructure is in really bad shape – water across New Zealand is in bad shape, some of our roads, our hospital systems,” he says.

“We need to be borrowing and investing in infrastructure. If infrastructure fails we don’t have any economy.’’

There is a concern that most of that borrowing will have to be paid back by the next generation.

‘’But both with Covid and the state of infrastructure in New Zealand, and with the incredibly low cost of borrowing, it absolutely makes sense for New Zealand to be doing this.’’

Read the full article on Stuff

Māori TV: Māori tourism critical to country’s economic rebuild

On Monday Stats NZ revealed 234 Māori tourism businesses had employed 11,100 people in 2019 but, as the country suffered a massive financial blow due to Covid-19, this now highlights jobs at risk.

But Māori economist Matt Roskruge says if Covid-19 is taken out of the picture, ” we’re seeing amazing growth in Māori tourism and it’s across the board,” “We should be very proud,” Roskruge told Tapatahi.

See the full interview on Māori Television’s Taitahi

Stuff: Māori economy critical to Covid-19 economic recovery

Dr Matt Roskruge. Photo by Waikato Times

OPINION: Covid-19 has resulted in serious human and economic harm, bringing hardship to millions globally and devastating economies across the globe.

However, there is opportunity in every economic crisis, and our current one enables us to realise economic renewal and reprioritisation by breaking up the economic status quo.

This opportunity can be squandered through lack of ambition, vision or action.

To capture the benefits, conversations will have to be had about what this rebuild looks.

Read Matt’s full piece on Stuff

Stuff: Deep Trouble: A historic unemployment crisis has begun

As the number of people out of work continues to grow, many households and communities will face problems they have not known before. For some, it will make an already difficult existence even harder.

A three-part Stuff investigation details the shape of the crisis now, how it will grow and what it means for a welfare system suddenly under intense scrutiny.

Te Au Rangahau co-director Matt Roskruge features in Part Two: Who’s next? and Part Three: Unemployment and racial privilege

…Māori economist Matt Roskruge says institutional racism will almost certainly rear its head as the redundancies pile up.

Quite often Māori staff are the first to be let go for whatever reason, he says. They’re disproportionately in more precarious work, have fewer fixed hours, and work in sectors that have been disproportionately impacted.

Māori also often have barriers to opportunities, such as fewer resources, more family commitments and less ability to travel for work.

…Roskruge, meanwhile, reckons some iwi are well-positioned to invest in high growth opportunities that are currently going cheap.

“Māori companies tend to carry less debt. So there are some opportunities for the Māori economy to pick up some bargains, diversify and be well-positioned for when things inevitably get better.”

He says in the tech industry giant firms such as Google, Facebook and others are picking up a lot of cheap technology companies.

“For Covid-19, you’re really looking for pre-existing wealth or where there is capacity to borrow. There’s bargains to be had and some iwi are in excellent positions to take advantage of those bargains.”

While some iwi are in a strong financial position, Māori as a population are not.

Many iwi and social service organisations, like the Otangarei Trust, led the welfare response in their communities during lockdown and will continue to as the recession deepens.

The cruel thing about economic shocks, Roskruge says, is those who have got cash can use it to make more. People who find themselves in a more precarious position, on the other hand, become worse off.

“It tends to be quite cruel in these recessions. The recovery rewards people with resources to invest in the recovery.”

Both Reid and Roskruge agree it’s time for a change of perspective on the unemployed…

From Part Three:

…Reid says the inequities that currently exist are being magnified by the income relief payment.

It’s a wake up call to policy makers in Government to be mindful of institutional racism, he says. “Unless you’re vigilant you can easily make policy decisions that support the dominant culture in society.”

Māori economist Matt Roskruge agrees.

“It’s getting close to systematic racism. It’s knocking on the door of being blindly manufactured to disadvantage Māori disproportionately,” Roskruge says.

“Nobody has sat down and gone: ‘Well, who is this going to benefit and who is this going to hurt?’”

He says the Government probably didn’t give any thought to the possibility the payment was discriminatory.

Roskruge argues Covid-19 created a sharp shock to the economy but global markets were already starting to soften in September last year, which was having an impact on Kiwi jobs before the pandemic hit. He doesn’t think it’s fair Māori and other vulnerable workers who have lost their jobs since September are being disadvantaged.

“By introducing it to only new people who are about to enter onto the benefit you’ve systematically excluded a disproportionate number of Māori, who have already entered into Jobseeker, from accessing the higher fund.”

Policy-makers perhaps believe people who lived on Jobseeker support prior to March had already adjusted to a lowly beneficiary income, Roskruge suggests. The newly unemployed, on the other hand, would be used to a higher income so need the extra cash to adjust…

RNZ: Budget 2020: Māori to get $900m to deal with Covid-19 fallout

The $900m includes the establishment of a $50m Māori trades training fund. Photo: RNZ / Alexander Robertson

The government will spend $900 million in Budget 2020 to support whānau, hapū and iwi to deal with the fall-out of Covid-19.

…Massey University Te Au Rangahau co-director Dr Matt Roskruge, who is a senior lecturer in economics and finance, said he welcomed the focus on creating jobs in the regions.

“The regions are probably going to be the hardest hit in terms of employment and the slowest to recover,” he said.

“The $200 million for the regional economy will certainly go some way to supporting Māori regional economic development, but the devil is going to be in the detail.

“We need to be a little bit careful to make sure there are not communities, towns, rural areas that are isolated and that are forgotten in the recovery story.”

Lack of tailored Māori business support

To date, there has been no targeted Māori economic support package to help Māori businesses deal with the impacts of Covid-19.

Dr Roskruge said he is disappointed there is no specific focus on Māori businesses in the Budget.

“I didn’t feel like there was an awful lot of thought put into how to pass money over to Māori organisations to help them find on the ground solutions for the Māori economy.

“In saying that, $200 million isn’t a small amount of funding, it is probably at a level that is going to make a difference but I don’t think it is going to be enough to make the level of difference that we perhaps need.

“I think the government has perhaps hoped that the Māori economy is going to get caught up in that big spending package.”

Read the full story on RNZ or NZ Herald